Adaptive Management of Multi-Scenario Projects in Cybersecurity: Models and Algorithms for Decision-Making

Описание

Тип публикации: статья из журнала

Год издания: 2024

Идентификатор DOI: 10.3390/bdcc8110150

Аннотация: <jats:p>In recent years, cybersecurity management has increasingly required advanced methodologies capable of handling complex, evolving threat landscapes. Scenario network-based approaches have emerged as effective strategies for managing uncertainty and adaptability in cybersecurity projects. This article introduces a scenario neПоказать полностьюtwork-based approach for managing cybersecurity projects, utilizing fuzzy linguistic models and a Takagi–Sugeno–Kanga fuzzy neural network. Drawing upon L. Zadeh's theory of linguistic variables, the methodology integrates expert analysis, linguistic variables, and a continuous genetic algorithm to predict membership function parameters. Fuzzy production rules are employed for decision-making, while the Mamdani fuzzy inference algorithm enhances interpretability. This approach enables multi-scenario planning and adaptability across multi-stage cybersecurity projects. Preliminary results from a research prototype of an intelligent expert system—designed to analyze project stages and adaptively construct project trajectories—suggest the proposed approach is effective. In computational experiments, the use of fuzzy procedures resulted in an over 25% reduction in errors compared to traditional methods, particularly in adjusting project scenarios from pessimistic to baseline projections. While promising, this approach requires further testing across diverse cybersecurity contexts. Future studies will aim to refine scenario adaptation and optimize system response in high-risk project environments.</jats:p>

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Издание

Журнал: Big Data and Cognitive Computing

Выпуск журнала: Т. 8, 11

Номера страниц: 150

ISSN журнала: 25042289

Издатель: MDPI AG

Персоны

  • Tynchenko Vadim (Department of Information and Control Systems, Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and Technology, 660037 Krasnoyarsk, Russia)
  • Lomazov Alexander (Financial University)
  • Lomazov Vadim (Department of Applied Informatics and Information Technology, Belgorod State University, 308015 Belgorod, Russia)
  • Evsyukov Dmitry (Artificial Intelligence Technology Scientific and Education Center, Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 105005 Moscow, Russia)
  • Nelyub Vladimir (Scientific Department, Far Eastern Federal University, 690922 Vladivostok, Russia)
  • Borodulin Aleksei (Artificial Intelligence Technology Scientific and Education Center, Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 105005 Moscow, Russia)
  • Gantimurov Andrei (Artificial Intelligence Technology Scientific and Education Center, Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 105005 Moscow, Russia)
  • Malashin Ivan (Artificial Intelligence Technology Scientific and Education Center, Bauman Moscow State Technical University, 105005 Moscow, Russia)

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