Predicted sea-ice loss will terminate Iceland's driftwood supply by 2060 CE

Описание

Тип публикации: статья из журнала

Год издания: 2022

Идентификатор DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2022.103834

Ключевые слова: arctic ocean, climate change, dendrochronology, driftwood supply, global warming, sea-ice dynamics

Аннотация: Driftwood supply was a pivotal factor for the Norse expansion in medieval times and still exhibits an essential resource for Arctic settlements. The physical causes and societal consequences of long-term changes in the distribution of Arctic driftwood are, however, poorly understood. Here, we use dendrochronology to reconstruct theПоказать полностьюage and origin of 289 driftwood samples that were collected at remote shorelines in northeast Iceland. Based on 240 reference tree-ring width chronologies from the boreal forest zone, and an overall provenance success of 73%, we show that most of the driftwood is pine and larch from the Yenisei catchment in central Siberia. Our study reveals an abrupt decline in the amount of driftwood reaching Iceland since the 1980s, which is corroborated by the experience of local farmers and fishers. Despite the direct and indirect effects of changes in both, logging activity across Siberia as well as Arctic Ocean currents, the predicted amount of sea-ice loss under anthropogenic global warming is likely to terminate Iceland's driftwood supply by 2060 CE. © 2022

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Издание

Журнал: Global and Planetary Change

Выпуск журнала: Vol. 213

Номера страниц: 103834

ISSN журнала: 09218181

Издатель: Elsevier B.V.

Персоны

  • Kolář T. (Department of Wood Science and Technology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic, Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CzechGlobe), Brno, 603 00, Czech Republic)
  • Rybníček M. (Department of Wood Science and Technology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic, Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CzechGlobe), Brno, 603 00, Czech Republic)
  • Eggertsson Ó. (Icelandic Forest Research Mógilsá, 116 Reykjavik, Iceland)
  • Kirdyanov A. (V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Federal Research Centre, Krasnoyarsk, 660036, Russian Federation, Institute of Ecology and Geography, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, 660041, Russian Federation)
  • Čejka T. (Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CzechGlobe), Brno, 603 00, Czech Republic, Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic)
  • Čermák P. (Department of Forest Protection and Wildlife Management, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic)
  • Žid T. (Department of Forest Protection and Wildlife Management, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic)
  • Vavrčík H. (Department of Wood Science and Technology, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic)
  • Büntgen U. (Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences (CzechGlobe), Brno, 603 00, Czech Republic, Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, 613 00, Czech Republic, Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, UKCB2 3EN, Swiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), Birmensdorf, 8903, Switzerland)

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