Тип публикации: статья из журнала
Год издания: 2020
Идентификатор DOI: 10.1007/s00484-020-02033-5
Ключевые слова: vaganov-shashkin model, climate-growth correlations, tree rings, process-based modelling, dendrotools, dendroclimatology
Аннотация: Norway spruce (Picea abiesL.) is among the most sensitive coniferous species to ongoing climate change. However, previous studies on its growth response to increasing temperatures have yielded contrasting results (from stimulation to suppression), suggesting highly site-specific responses. Here, we present the first study that applПоказать полностьюies two independent approaches, i.e. the nonlinear, process-based Vaganov-Shashkin (VS) model and linear daily response functions. Data were collected at twelve sites in Slovenia differing in climate regimes and ranging elevation between 170 and 1300 m a.s.l. VS model results revealed that drier Norway spruce sites at lower elevations are mostly moisture limited, while moist high-elevation sites are generally more temperature limited. Daily response functions match well the pattern of growth-limiting factors from the VS model and further explain the effect of climate on radial growth: prevailing growth-limiting factors correspond to the climate variable with higher correlations. Radial growth correlates negatively with rising summer temperature and positively with higher spring precipitation. The opposite response was observed for the wettest site at the highest elevation, which positively reacts to increased summer temperature and will most likely benefit from a warming climate. For all other sites, the future radial growth of Norway spruce largely depends on the balance between spring precipitation and summer temperature.
Журнал: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
Выпуск журнала: Vol. 65, Is. 2
Номера страниц: 311-324
ISSN журнала: 00207128
Место издания: NEW YORK
Издатель: SPRINGER