Тип публикации: статья из журнала

Год издания: 2022

Идентификатор DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16543

Ключевые слова: cell wall thickening, northern hemisphere conifer, photoperiod, spring forcing, winter chilling, xylem phenology

Аннотация: Despite growing interest in predicting plant phenological shifts, advanced spring phenology by global climate change remains debated. Evidence documenting either small or large advancement of spring phenology to rising temperature over the spatio-temporal scales implies a potential existence of a thermal threshold in the responses Показать полностьюof forests to global warming. We collected a unique data set of xylem cell-wall-thickening onset dates in 20 coniferous species covering a broad mean annual temperature (MAT) gradient (−3.05 to 22.9°C) across the Northern Hemisphere (latitudes 23°–66° N). Along the MAT gradient, we identified a threshold temperature (using segmented regression) of 4.9 ± 1.1°C, above which the response of xylem phenology to rising temperatures significantly decline. This threshold separates the Northern Hemisphere conifers into cold and warm thermal niches, with MAT and spring forcing being the primary drivers for the onset dates (estimated by linear and Bayesian mixed-effect models), respectively. The identified thermal threshold should be integrated into the Earth-System-Models for a better understanding of spring phenology in response to global warming and an improved prediction of global climate-carbon feedbacks. © 2022 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Журнал: Global Change Biology

ISSN журнала: 13541013

Издатель: John Wiley and Sons Inc

• Huang J.-G. (MOE Key Laboratory of Biosystems Homeostasis and Protection, College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China)
• Zhang Y. (Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China, South China National Botanical Garden, Guangzhou, China)
• Wang M. (Department of Ecology, School of Life Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China)
• Yu X. (School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia)
• Deslauriers A. (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada)
• Fonti P. (Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland)
• Liang E. (State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China)
• Mäkinen H. (Department of Forests, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Espoo, Finland)
• Oberhuber W. (Department of Botany, Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria)
• Rathgeber C.B.K. (Université de Lorraine, AgroParisTech, INRAE Silva, Nancy, France)
• Tognetti R. (Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti, Università degli Studi del Molise, Campobasso, Italy)
• Treml V. (Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic)
• Yang B. (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China)
• Zhai L. (Key Laboratory of Vegetation Restoration and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China, South China National Botanical Garden, Guangzhou, China)
• Zhang J.-L. (CAS Key Laboratory of Tropical Forest Ecology, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Yunnan, Mengla, China)
• Antonucci S. (Dipartimento di Agricoltura, Ambiente e Alimenti, Università degli Studi del Molise, Campobasso, Italy)
• Bergeron Y. (Forest Research Institute, Université du Quebec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Rouyn-Noranda, QC, Canada)
• Camarero J.J. (Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain)
• Campelo F. (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal)
• Čufar K. (Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia)
• Cuny H.E. (IGN, Direction Interrégionale NordEst, Champigneulles, France)
• De Luis M. (Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain)
• Fajstavr M. (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic)
• Giovannelli A. (CNR – Istituto di Ricerca sugli Ecosistemi Terrestri, IRET, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy)
• Gričar J. (Slovenian Forestry Institute, Ljubljana, Slovenia)
• Gruber A. (Department of Botany, Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria)
• Gryc V. (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic)
• Güney A. (Institute of Botany, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany, Izmir Katip Çelebi University, Faculty of Forestry, Izmir, Turkey)
• Jyske T. (Department of Forests, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Espoo, Finland)
• Kašpar J. (Department of Physical Geography and Geoecology, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic, Department of Forest Ecology, Silva Tarouca Research Institute for Landscape and Ornamental Gardening, Průhonice, Czech Republic)
• King G. (Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland, Department of Sciences, University of Alberta, Camrose, AB, Canada)
• Krause C. (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada)
• Lemay A. (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada)
• Liu F. (Key Laboratory of Aquatic Botany and Watershed Ecology, Wuhan Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan, China)
• Lombardi F. (AGRARIA Department, Mediterranean University of Reggio Calabria, Reggio Calabria, Italy)
• del Castillo E.M. (Department of Geography and Regional Planning, Environmental Science Institute, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain)
• Morin H. (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada)
• Nabais C. (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal)
• Nöjd P. (Department of Forests, Natural Resources Institute Finland, Espoo, Finland)
• Peters R.L. (Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland, Laboratory of Plant Ecology, Department of Plants and Crops, Faculty of Bioscience Engineering, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium)
• Prislan P. (Biotechnical Faculty, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia)
• Saracino A. (Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Portici-Napoli, Italy)
• Shishov V.V. (Institute of Economics and Trade, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation)
• Swidrak I. (Department of Botany, Leopold-Franzens-University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria)
• Vavrčík H. (Department of Wood Science and Wood Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Brno, Czech Republic)
• Vieira J. (Centre for Functional Ecology, Department of Life Sciences, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal)
• Zeng Q. (Key Lab of Guangdong for Utilization of Remote Sensing and Geographical Information System, Guangdong Open Laboratory of Geospatial Information Technology and Application, Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangzhou, China)
• Liu Y. (The State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, China)
• Rossi S. (Laboratoire sur les écosystèmes terrestres boréaux, Département des Sciences Fondamentales, Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada)

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