Imperfection of the convergent cross-mapping method


Тип публикации: доклад, тезисы доклада, статья из сборника материалов конференций

Конференция: International Conference on Advanced Technologies in Aerospace, Mechanical and Automation Engineering, MIST: Aerospace 2020

Год издания: 2021

Идентификатор DOI: 10.1088/1757-899X/1047/1/012081

Аннотация: In 2012, the Convergent Cross Mapping method for finding a causal relationship between system variables from their time series was published. This method is widely used in the study of systems of various nature - from assessing the effect of cosmic radiation on the climate, to the study of cerebral activity. The relevance and prospПоказать полностьюects of using this method prompted us to master it and to apply it to identifying causal relationships between the variables of the "biosphere-climate"system. The obtained results seemed suspicious and forced us to check carefully the adequacy of the CCM conclusions in relation to various model systems. This paper presents examples of model situations when the method gives false estimates of the presence of causal relationships and offers a possible explanation for the causes of false estimates appearance. © Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.

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Журнал: IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering

Выпуск журнала: Vol. 1047, Is. 1

Номера страниц: 12081

ISSN журнала: 17578981

Издатель: IOP Publishing Ltd


  • Bartsev S. (Institute of Biophysics SB RAS, FRC KSC SB RAS, Siberian Federal University, Russian Federation)
  • Saltykov M. (Institute of Biophysics SB RAS, FRC KSC SB RAS)
  • Belolipetsky P. (Siberian Federal University, Russian Federation)
  • Pianykh A. (Siberian Federal University, Russian Federation)

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